Review Sheet for Test III, Spring 2017
Colorado State University, Pueblo
Math 156 — Introduction to Statistics
Definitions
Terms you should know -- be able to state clearly what they mean, recognize
them in examples, and create your own examples of them
- [population] parameter
- [sample] statistic
- representative sample
- bias
- voluntary sample bias
- wording effects
- Simple Random Sample [SRS]
- The Law of Large Numbers
- observational study vs experiment
- control vs treatment group
- confounding variables
- lurking variables
- placebo effect, placebo [not the same thing]
- blind, double-blind
- randomized, controlled trial [RCT]
- informed consent
- do no harm
- independent oversight -- IRB
- confidentiality
- confidence interval, confidence level [its meaning!]
- margin of error
- hypothesis test or test of significance
- null hypothesis $H_0$ and alternative hypothesis $H_a$
- $p$-value [its meaning! and how to calculate it]
- when to say "We reject $H_0$" and when to say
"We fail to reject $H_0$"
- significance level
- type I error
Things to know how to do
- tell the difference between an observational study and an experiment, and
also between a parameter and a statistic
- given a description of a research question, describe a randomized,
placebo-controlled, double-blind experiment to investigate it
- given a description of an experimental design, think of possible sources
of bias, possible lurking variables
- given an experimental design, do an ethical analysis of the design
- given a description of a situation with some quantitative variable of
interest, compute and explain the meaning of a confidence interval at
various confidence levels for the population mean of the variable.
- given a description of a research question, carefully set up, explain,
and perform a hypothesis test about the population mean of a quantitative
variable in the situation.
Format of the test
Problems will be of a level of difficulty and
wording similar to those on homework and quizzes. There will also be one
problem with some information to interpret as if for an ASE. The total
points for the test will be well more than 100, you can choose which 100
points you want to do out of the available problems. This means you should
definitely choose to do first the problems about which you are the most
confident, only coming back for the rest after finishing your first pass
through the entire test.
Don't forget your calculator or whatever electronic tool[s] you like and
notes or books to consult. While you can consult notes, you should
always do so simply to make certain you have the right formula or you are
checking all of the appropriate conditions — you should know the general
shape of all the formulæ, results, and definitions.
How to Study
It might be a good idea to put together all of your Big Ideas, review them, and
make sure you know all of the things they describe.
Go over your quizzes, HW problems, and quizzes, and make sure you know how to
do those kinds of things, and that you could do them again and get perfect
scores on them now. Maybe practice writing good solutions with complete
explanations and justifications of every step.
Look at your ASEs and make sure you know how you could change them so that you
would get a better score (if that is possible).